PracticeProduct Judgment

Applied~2–3 minChoose, then see feedback · no writingFluency is not evidence

Decision-ready for Thursday?

The AI analyst's pricing recommendation

The situation

The board wants a pricing answer on Thursday. Tobi put the customer list, the competitor set and last year's win/loss notes through Claude and got a pricing strategy analysis back in about twenty minutes. He says it is better than anything produced internally and asks what he is missing before it goes to the board.

Tobi Achebe · CEO: “Twenty minutes and it’s better than anything we’ve produced internally. Before I take it to the board, anything I’m missing?”

The memo is well organised, reports its projection to the cent and recommends $49. You have the evening. Choose one claim to check, then decide what Tobi takes to the board.

What you can see

E01 · Recommendation and projection

Move from $29 to $49 per seat per month for new customers, with a twelve-month grandfather period for existing accounts. Projection table: 312 new customers (projected), 14 average seats, $20.00 incremental per seat, incremental ARR $847,320.00. No basis is given for the 312. Risks: existing customer backlash, mitigated by the grandfather period; billing changes, a two-week engineering effort. The memo does not say what the price change is meant to achieve.

E02 · Competitive positioning table

List price per seat per month: Northwind $65 (enterprise, security-led), Calypso $45 (mid-market), Bramble $52 (mid-market), Orrery $38 (SMB, self-serve), Vessel $72 (enterprise, compliance), Tanager $44 (mid-market), Halcyon $58 (enterprise, vertical), Meridian $29 (mid-market). The memo says Meridian is 38% below the mid-market average of $47 and 52% below the overall set average, and that the gap is not explained by capability differences.

E03 · Value and willingness to pay

Customer interviews and usage data 'indicate' Meridian saves the average team approximately 6.2 hours a week, at $52 an hour: about $1,394 a month per team. At $29 and 14 seats Meridian captures $406 a month, about 29% of value; industry benchmarks 'suggest' 25–35%, best-in-class operators 40–50%. A survey of 180 users in the current base asked what they would pay: 94% at $29, 81% at $39, 68% at $49, 41% at $59, 19% at $69. The memo says revenue is maximised at $49.

Step 1 of 2

Which claim do you check first?

Your first choice is kept. Changing your mind later counts as a retry.